LIVE DATA13 VERIFIED FEEDS11 MARKET SIGNALS18 Aug 2026, 10:24 UTC
LIVE CRYPTO × AI MARKET INTELLIGENCE
The market,
decoded live.
Verified liquidity data, scored signals and a daily intelligence brief—built for people who want the evidence before the narrative.
Source-linked · Timestamped · No invented numbers
BitcoinEthereumSolanaXRPStablecoin capitalDeFiDerivatives
WHOLE-MARKET PULSE
Defensive
28% of the liquid universe is advancing over 24 hours and 36% of tracked sectors are positive. Bitcoin dominance is 56.5%, placing the market in a defensive regime.
Open the complete market map →CRYPTOXAI INTELLIGENCE INDEX56/ 100
CROSS-MARKET REGIME
Constructive
3 of 11 measures are expanding. Read the pillars together before treating any single move as a market regime.
61% average signal confidence · 11 live measuresBIGGEST VERIFIED MOVES
01DEX volume+33.4%Surging →02Protocol fees+16.7%Surging →03Stablecoin yield-3.9%Cooling →Start here, then use the related pillars to test whether the move is isolated or broad.
LIVE MARKET MONITOR
What is moving,
and why it matters.
Each reading is calculated from observed market data and stored as a timestamped snapshot. The charts show verified observations—not decorative estimates.
READ THIS IN 10 SECONDS3 of 11 signals are expanding. Market conditions are improving, but confirmation still matters.
CONTRACTINGSTATED WINDOWEXPANDING
Bitcoin
+0.9%The current comparison is range-bound. Bitcoin’s USD spot price, seven-day return, turnover and realised volatility from a liquid public exchange market.
Ethereum
+0.7%The current comparison is range-bound. Ethereum’s USD spot price and seven-day performance, including its relative strength versus Bitcoin.
Solana
-0.6%The current comparison is range-bound. Solana’s USD spot price and seven-day performance, compared with the Bitcoin benchmark.
XRP
-2.7%The current comparison is cooling. XRP’s USD spot price and seven-day performance, including volatility and relative strength versus Bitcoin.
Stablecoins
+0.3%The current comparison is range-bound. A broad measure of dollar-like capital available across crypto markets.
DeFi liquidity
+0.5%The current comparison is range-bound. Capital deposited in tracked decentralised finance protocols across chains.
DEX volume
+33.4%The current comparison is expanding. Trading turnover completed through decentralised exchanges during the latest 24-hour window.
Protocol fees
+16.7%The current comparison is expanding. Fees users paid to tracked crypto applications during the latest 24-hour window.
Open interest
+1.8%The current comparison is range-bound. Aggregate capital committed to outstanding crypto derivatives positions.
Stablecoin yield
-3.9%The current comparison is cooling. A liquidity-weighted APY from large, non-outlier stablecoin pools.
AI agents
+2.5%The current comparison is expanding. Capital deposited in the tracked AI-agent protocol cohort.
01 / BitcoinSteady
$64,089+0.9%
History building
Signal strength 49Confidence 57%Quality 96%
BTC/USD last traded at $64,089 on Kraken, +0.9% over seven days. Estimated 24-hour spot turnover is $97.5M; seven-day realised daily volatility is 1.1%.
How to use this signal →02 / EthereumSteady
$1,894+0.7%
History building
Signal strength 47Confidence 57%Quality 96%
ETH/USD last traded at $1,894 on Kraken, +0.7% over seven days. Estimated 24-hour spot turnover is $18.7M; seven-day realised daily volatility is 0.8%. Relative strength versus Bitcoin: -0.2 percentage points.
How to use this signal →03 / SolanaSteady
$75.74-0.6%
History building
Signal strength 45Confidence 57%Quality 96%
SOL/USD last traded at $75.74 on Kraken, -0.6% over seven days. Estimated 24-hour spot turnover is $6.4M; seven-day realised daily volatility is 1.0%. Relative strength versus Bitcoin: -1.5 percentage points.
How to use this signal →04 / XRPCooling
$0.9942-2.7%
Signal strength 51Confidence 61%Quality 96%
XRP/USD last traded at $0.9942 on Kraken, -2.7% over seven days. Estimated 24-hour spot turnover is $12.8M; seven-day realised daily volatility is 1.0%. Relative strength versus Bitcoin: -3.6 percentage points.
How to use this signal →05 / StablecoinsSteady
$306.4B+0.3%
Signal strength 56Confidence 56%Quality 94%
Tracked circulating stablecoin supply is $306.4B, +0.3% over seven days.
How to use this signal →06 / DeFi liquiditySteady
$75.5B+0.5%
Signal strength 56Confidence 56%Quality 95%
Total tracked DeFi TVL is $75.5B, +0.5% over seven days.
How to use this signal →07 / DEX volumeSurging
$5.5B+33.4%
Signal strength 96Confidence 75%Quality 93%
Tracked 24-hour DEX volume is $5.5B, +33.4% versus the previous day across 1,312 tracked protocols. Seven-day total: $36.6B.
How to use this signal →08 / Protocol feesSurging
$57.3M+16.7%
History building
Signal strength 87Confidence 74%Quality 92%
Tracked 24-hour protocol fees is $57.3M, +16.7% versus the previous day across 2,578 tracked protocols. Seven-day total: $380.0M.
How to use this signal →09 / Open interestSteady
$20.5B+1.8%
Signal strength 58Confidence 57%Quality 90%
Tracked 24-hour open interest is $20.5B, +1.8% versus the previous day across 119 tracked protocols. Seven-day total: $136.9B.
How to use this signal →10 / Stablecoin yieldCooling
3.95% APY-3.9%
Signal strength 63Confidence 62%Quality 91%
458 non-outlier stablecoin pools with at least $5M TVL imply a liquidity-weighted 3.95% APY, -3.9% versus the estimated level seven days earlier.
How to use this signal →11 / AI agentsRising
$25.8M+2.5%
History building
Signal strength 49Confidence 58%Quality 88%
MorpheusAI and ZyFAI total $25.8M in TVL, +2.5% over seven days. This is a curated AI-agent protocol cohort, not the whole category.
How to use this signal →
DAILY INTELLIGENCE / 18 AUGLATEST PUBLISHED BRIEF
Crypto activity rises while liquidity measures remain broadly steady
Open interest and DEX turnover increased over 24 hours, while stablecoin supply and DeFi TVL were nearly unchanged. Stablecoin yields fell, and XRP was little changed over seven days.
Open the full analysis →PROOF, NOT PROMISES
The signal
scorecard.
Every daily signal is frozen before the outcome is known, checked after 24 hours, 72 hours and seven days, and then used to calibrate future confidence.
| Signal | Horizon | Samples | Hit rate | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI agents | 24h | 2 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| Bitcoin | 24h | 1 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| DeFi liquidity | 24h | 2 | 50.0% | Baseline |
| DEX volume | 24h | 1 | 100.0% | Baseline |
| Ethereum | 24h | 1 | 100.0% | Baseline |
| Open interest | 24h | 1 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| Protocol fees | 24h | 1 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| Solana | 24h | 1 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| Stablecoins | 24h | 2 | 100.0% | Baseline |
| Stablecoin yield | 24h | 1 | 0.0% | Baseline |
| XRP | 24h | 1 | 100.0% | Baseline |
01FreezeTimestamp signal, evidence, direction and confidence
→02ObserveMeasure the real metric at 24h, 72h and 7d
→03ScoreRecord direction hit rate and confidence error
→04CalibrateRaise or reduce future weights using verified history
PUBLISHED INTELLIGENCE
The evidence
archive.
Every edition preserves the market snapshot, source trail and forecast state that existed when it was published.
View every briefing →LATEST / 18 AUGCX / 20260818
Crypto activity rises while liquidity measures remain broadly steady
Open interest and DEX turnover increased over 24 hours, while stablecoin supply and DeFi TVL were nearly unchanged. Stablecoin yields fell, and XRP was little changed over seven days.
Read analysis →
ARCHIVE / 17 AUGCX / 20260817
Crypto liquidity signals remain broadly steady
AI-agent TVL, stablecoin supply, and total DeFi liquidity changed little over the past seven days, according to tracked DefiLlama data.
Read analysis →ARCHIVE / 16 AUGCX / 20260816
Crypto liquidity holds its range as AI agents stay steady
CryptoXAI's verified daily read finds a mixed, range-bound market. AI agents are the strongest seven-day mover at -1.5%.
Read analysis →THE METHODOLOGY
Measured.
Scored. Traceable.
Signal strength combines velocity, scale, coverage and freshness. Forecast confidence is scored separately and automatically calibrated against observed outcomes.
45 Velocity20 Scale20 Coverage15 Freshness
Measured
Eleven measures span BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP momentum plus deployable capital, DeFi liquidity, DEX volume, protocol fees, leverage, stablecoin yield and AI-agent adoption.
Rules-based
Movement states use fixed thresholds on each signal’s disclosed comparison window. The AI editor explains verified results; it never invents the result.
Self-correcting
Each forecast is scored after its horizon. Verified hit rate and confidence error automatically adjust future weighting, with a minimum sample gate to reduce overfitting.